Poland seen as “threat to the peace”. The Russian mechanism of influence explained

The Russian disinformation machine continues to portray Poland as a “threat to peace in the region” and a country “preparing for an armed attack on its neighbours”. In the previous report [material dated August 2 ], we mentioned that the Russian and Belarusian sides were focused on insinuating that Poland would attack Belarus. Currently, both Minsk and Moscow have returned to parallel “scaring” their target audience with the spectre of an impending Polish attack on Ukraine, Belarus and Russia. The common denominator of narratives referring to the “neo-imperial aspirations of the Republic of Poland” is the portrayal of our country as a “provocateur”/“aggressor” who seeks to provoke a war with the Russian Federation.

 

The Russian side attempts to lend credibility to their disinformation by endorsing it with foreign “authorities”. Russians achieve this by referring to publications featured on pro-Russian or Russian portals abroad (including those operating in Poland) or to statements shared online by individuals who collaborate or sympathise with Moscow. As an immediate example referring to the discussed context, we can cite the remarks of American pseudo-experts like Scott Ritter and Douglas MacGregor. These people are consistently involved in infecting the English-language infosphere (mainly American) with a message that fulfils the goals of the Kremlin. Besides affecting English-speaking recipients, these individuals play a role in validating Russian claims disseminated for the Russian infosphere.

 

A fascinating trend is how certain men frequently comment on the same issue, constructing a cohesive distorted portrayal of reality consistent with the emerging trends in the Russian infosphere: essentially, they speak in a way that reinforces the narratives appearing in the Russian infosphere.

 

 

In the discussed scenario, Scott Ritter has lent credibility to the narrative of Poland’s purported preparations for launching an attack on Belarus or Russia. He stressed in his speech that the war, which he claims was “initiated by Poland”, will lead to the disintegration of the Polish Armed Forces and the destruction of our state. In this manner, he not only reinforced the narrative regarding Poland’s supposed “aggressive plans” towards its neighbours, but also generated a factor that was subsequently echoed by pro-Russian Polish disinformers (promoting the idea of an “impending catastrophe” and the “ruin of Polish statehood” – inciting panic and anti-Ukrainian and anti-American sentiments).

 

 

The statement of the second of the mentioned pseudo-experts (Douglas MacGregor) boiled down to portraying Poland as a country that will become a key member of the “American coalition”, whose forces will enter western Ukraine. The given statement actually served to refresh the disinformation narrative about the alleged plans for the annexation of western Ukraine by the Polish Army under the pretext of a “peacekeeping mission”. The mentioned narrative pertains directly to the portrayal of Poland as an aggressive state that will effectively trigger a war between NATO and the Russian Federation through its “neo-imperial ambitions”.

 

 

The aforementioned actions of pro-Russian “figures of authority”, despite their varying narratives, all amount to depicting Poland as a state “posing a threat to regional security” and “global peace”. In this version of reality, Belarus, Ukraine and Russia may soon fall prey to “Polish aggression”. Therefore, we are witnessing whitewashing actions of Russia’s image – portraying a state responsible for initiating the war as a country that is “a victim of the machinations of its Western neighbours”. At the same time, we are witnessing actions that attribute responsibility to Poland and the USA (the administration of Joe Biden) for unleashing the spectre of World War III onto the world. In addition to undermining the image of both countries and distorting the reality, which effectively shifts the blame for the war outbreak in Ukraine away from Russia (the information reaches recipients worldwide), we are faced with attempts to sway the electoral preferences of Polish and American citizens. It is worth noting here that the mentioned “authorities” try to limit the level of support for Joe Biden’s environment (by portraying the US president as a person “provoking war with Russia” – by supporting Ukraine) and the citizens of the Republic of Poland, referring to the “authorities”, aim to lower the level of support for political parties advocating for a tough policy towards Russia.

 

The actions of the Russian disinformation apparatus aimed at portraying Poland as a “threat to peace” serve the realisation of a whole range of objectives, which is achieved through influencing the Russian infosphere and the information spheres of numerous countries. One of the aspects of data activity is its influence on the electoral preferences of Poles. In this context, it is worth observing which environments and supporters actively lobby for the theses of these pro-Russian pseudo-experts.

 

Author: dr Michał Marek

 

 

Public task financed by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Poland within thegrant comp etition “Public Diplomacy 2023”